For this match between Thun and Lugano, our primary prediction is 2Y Total Goals Under 2.5 (72%). Additionally, Away Team Total Goals Under 2.5 (70%) and Total Goals Over 2.5 (65%) are notable options.
How the pre-match analyses turned out
2nd-half total goals: Under 2.5 (confidence 72%)Actual: 3Incorrect
Away team goals: Under 2.5 (confidence 70%)Actual: 3Incorrect
Total goals: Over 2.5 (confidence 65%)Actual: 5Correct
36'GoalDereck Moncada · Assist: Hannes Delcroix (Lugano)
37'GoalNassim Zoukit (Thun)
38'Yellow cardE. Pihlstrom (Lugano)
45'Yellow cardD. Kelvin (Lugano)
46'SubstitutionIn: M. Kait · Out: L. Passavant (Thun)
46'SubstitutionIn: D. Dos Santos · Out: D. Kelvin (Lugano)
46'SubstitutionIn: M. Zanotti · Out: E. Pihlstrom (Lugano)
49'GoalUran Bislimi · Assist: Daniel Dos Santos (Lugano)
52'Yellow cardN. Maier (Thun)
60'SubstitutionIn: M. Marques · Out: D. Moncada (Lugano)
65'SubstitutionIn: N. Christoffersson · Out: F. Dursun (Thun)
73'SubstitutionIn: A. Ajeti · Out: K. Behrens (Lugano)
74'SubstitutionIn: P. Kristal · Out: N. Maier (Thun)
76'GoalAlbian Ajeti · Assist: Lars Lukas Mai (Lugano)
81'SubstitutionIn: R. Braschi · Out: B. Labeau (Thun)
81'SubstitutionIn: A. Ilic · Out: N. Reichmuth (Thun)
84'SubstitutionIn: A. Kendouci · Out: U. Bislimi (Lugano)
85'Yellow cardF. Fehr (Thun)
88'Penalty goalRiccardo Braschi (Thun)
Team statistics
Full match
Thun
Lugano
Ball possession
52%
48%
Expected goals (xG)
1.87
1.74
Total shots
17
22
Shots on target
9
8
Shots inside the box
14
11
Blocked shots
3
6
Corners
6
2
Offsides
6
3
Yellow cards
2
2
Total passes
395
375
Accurate passes
313
290
Goalkeeper saves
3
7
1st half
Thun
Lugano
Expected goals (xG)
0.55
1.17
Total shots
10
11
Shots on target
7
3
Corners
2
0
Yellow cards
0
2
Lineups
ThunFormation: 4-4-2
Starting XI
1N. Steffen
47F. Fehr
54L. Passavant
5N. Burgy
18T. Strannegard
70N. Reichmuth
16J. Roth
13N. Zoukit
30N. Maier
9F. Dursun
96B. Labeau
Substitution
46'In: M. Kait · Out: L. Passavant
65'In: N. Christoffersson · Out: F. Dursun
74'In: P. Kristal · Out: N. Maier
81'In: A. Ilic · Out: N. Reichmuth
81'In: R. Braschi · Out: B. Labeau
Substitutes
25T. Spycher
17A. Balaruban
37L. Dahler
80S. Lengen
LuganoFormation: 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
16D. von Ballmoos
4D. Kelvin
17L. Mai
3H. Delcroix
8A. Grgic
2B. Karimov
21Y. Cimignani
25U. Bislimi
24E. Pihlstrom
91K. Behrens
30D. Moncada
Substitution
46'In: M. Zanotti · Out: E. Pihlstrom
46'In: D. Dos Santos · Out: D. Kelvin
60'In: M. Marques · Out: D. Moncada
73'In: A. Ajeti · Out: K. Behrens
84'In: A. Kendouci · Out: U. Bislimi
Substitutes
28F. Gebhardt
7E. Alioski
18J. Bichsel
22B. D. Castro Espinosa
Player ratings
1Uran BislimiPlayer of the matchLugano · Forward · 84'8.9
2Bekhruz KarimovLugano · Midfielder · 90'7.7
3David von BallmoosLugano · Goalkeeper · 90'7.7
4Albian AjetiLugano · Forward · 17'7.7
5Riccardo BraschiThun · Forward · 9'7.7
Key moments from the commentary
45+2'Half-time: Thun 1-1 Lugano. Dereck Moncada scored in the 36th minute, Nassim Zoukit in the 37th. Shots 10-12, on target 7-4, possession 50%-50%.
46'The second half is under way.
49'49th minute. Goal by Uran Bislimi, assist by Daniel Dos Santos Correia. Lugano take the lead 1-2.
76'Albian Ajeti scores in the 76th minute. Assist by Lars Lukas Mai. The score is 1-3.
88'88th minute. Riccardo Braschi scores from the penalty spot. The score is 2-3.
90'Full-time: Thun 2-3 Lugano. Goals by Dereck Moncada, Uran Bislimi and Albian Ajeti secured the win for Lugano. Nassim Zoukit and Riccardo Braschi scored for Thun. Shots 17-22, on target 9-8. Possession 52%-48%.