Bulgaria vs Luxembourg: live score, stats and AI analysis

Nations League · · Status: Full time

Bulgaria and Luxembourg met on 26 September 2026 (Nations League); the match ended 1-2.

Final score: Bulgaria 1-2 Luxembourg · Half-time: 1-1

Goals: Bulgaria — Asen Chandarov 18' · Luxembourg — Leandro Barreiro 37', Vincent Thill 66'

AI preview and result

Published: · 16 h before kick-off

What the pre-match AI preview said

The match between Bulgaria and Luxembourg is likely to be a low-scoring affair. Our predictions indicate a 71% probability for Under 2.5 Total Goals and a 95% probability for Under 5.5 Total Cards.

How the pre-match analyses turned out

1 of 2 pre-match analyses were correct. Public accuracy record of all AI analyses

Match events

Team statistics

Full match

BulgariaLuxembourg
Ball possession50%50%
Expected goals (xG)1.271.28
Total shots1015
Shots on target76
Shots inside the box611
Blocked shots04
Corners54
Offsides32
Yellow cards22
Total passes414420
Accurate passes342347
Goalkeeper saves56

1st half

BulgariaLuxembourg
Ball possession43%57%
Expected goals (xG)0.971.19
Total shots68
Shots on target51
Shots inside the box36
Big chances22
Corners31
Offsides11
Fouls59
Yellow cards21
Total passes175231
Accurate passes138194
Goalkeeper saves04

2nd half

BulgariaLuxembourg
Ball possession56%44%
Expected goals (xG)0.520.34
Total shots47
Shots on target26
Shots inside the box35
Big chances11
Corners23
Offsides21
Fouls58
Yellow cards01
Total passes239193
Accurate passes204157
Goalkeeper saves52

Lineups

BulgariaFormation: 4-3-3

Starting XI

  • 1D. Naumov
  • 19I. Turitsov
  • 5K. Dimitrov
  • 15T. Ivanov
  • 21D. Velkovski
  • 6E. Tsenov
  • 4I. Gruev
  • 14A. Chandarov
  • 11G. Rusev
  • 20L. Petkov
  • 10Z. Dimitrov

Substitution

  • 46'In: S. Ivanov · Out: G. Rusev
  • 56'In: M. Minchev · Out: A. Chandarov
  • 68'In: P. Panayotov · Out: E. Tsenov
  • 68'In: M. Petkov · Out: Z. Dimitrov
  • 82'In: S. Velkov · Out: T. Ivanov

Substitutes

  • 12D. Mitov
  • 23A. Bozhev
  • 3A. Hristov
  • 8A. Kraev
  • 22K. Stoyanov
  • 2Y. Stoyanov
  • 18K. Balov

LuxembourgFormation: 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  • 1A. Moris
  • 18L. Jans
  • 3E. Mahmutovic
  • 13D. Carlson
  • 4F. Bohnert
  • 6T. de Sousa
  • 16L. Barreiro
  • 11V. Thill
  • 10D. Sinani
  • 7A. Dardari
  • 17H. Kadamani

Substitution

  • 46'In: T. Rupil · Out: D. Sinani
  • 72'In: M. Olesen · Out: V. Thill
  • 83'In: S. Thill · Out: H. Kadamani
  • 83'In: J. Videira · Out: A. Dardari

Substitutes

  • 23L. Fox
  • 12T. Pereira Cardoso
  • 14E. Veiga
  • 22M. Martins
  • 5V. Selimovic
  • 2E. Dzogovic
  • 15O. Natami
  • 8M. Goncalves

Player ratings

Referee

Story of the match

Shots and corners in 15-minute spells · Bulgaria–Luxembourg

SpellShotsOn targetCorners
1–15'2–52–00–0
16–30'3–12–01–1
31–45'1–21–12–0
46–60'2–21–21–0
61–75'1–31–30–2
76–90'1–20–11–1

Match info

Last 5 matches

Bulgaria

  • D2-2vs Moldova5 Jun 2026
  • L0-1vs Montenegro1 Jun 2026
  • W1-0vs Indonesia30 Mar 2026
  • W10-2vs Solomon Islands27 Mar 2026
  • W2-1vs Georgia18 Nov 2025

Luxembourg

  • W1-0vs Albania6 Jun 2026
  • L0-1vs Italy3 Jun 2026
  • W3-0vs Malta31 Mar 2026
  • W2-0vs Malta26 Mar 2026
  • L0-1vs Northern Ireland17 Nov 2025

Head-to-head

Standings — Nations League

PosPPts
1Iceland48
2Estonia46
3Bulgaria44
4Luxembourg43

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